How Germany can qualify for knockouts after shock loss to Japan: FIFA World Cup Group E scenarios

In the opening Group E match of the World Cup in Qatar on Wednesday, Germany was shockingly defeated 2-1 by Japan.

The German’s hopes of making it out of Group C and into the round of 16 are now less likely as a result of this defeat.

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Germany’s next two opponents are Spain on November 28 and Costa Rica on December 2.

Germany needs to win both of these contests in order to maximize its chances of qualifying. With two victories, it would have six points, which, depending on other outcomes, might guarantee the top slot.

However, there is a chance that three teams from Group E finish with six points, in which case one of those teams would be eliminated based on goal differential. Germany must significantly outperform Costa Rica and Spain in order to increase its chances of qualifying.

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It will be more difficult for Germany to advance if it loses one of the next two games. It would only have four points after a win and a draw, so other group games would need to go in its favor.

In its quest for a fifth World Cup victory, Germany will face extra obstacles if it comes in second place.

Losing to either Spain or Costa Rica would almost certainly put an end to Germany’s chances of advancing to the World Cup’s knockout stages for the second time in a row.

There is one scenario in which Germany might still make the tournament even if it drops one more game in the group round, but it has restrictions.

Germany would need to win the other game if it lost one more, and then it would need to pray that either Spain, Costa Rica, or Japan won every game they played in the group without any games being tied. If this situation comes to pass, the group leader would have nine points and the other teams would have three points, again depending on goal differential.